Recently, I talked to my friend, who is professionaly involved in working with Artificial Intelligence and Machine learning, about world future. He is convinced, that many jobs currently undone by people will be taken by machines. At the beggining I was dubious, but after some research I am not so sure, that Artificial Intelligence revolution is tens of years away from us. Take a look at this TED presentation about artificial intelligence:
https://www.ted.com/talks/maurice_conti_the_incredible_inventions_of_intuitive_ai
As I recall, news about AI development are quite often in my RSS feeds. Maybe it is because most of my news feeds are about technology. On the other hand, I am signed up for other branches of technology RSS's and they are not even half as active as AI news feeds. Take a look at some examples:
1. Computers are already as good (if not better) as humans in games like the chess or go. Deep Blue computer recently defeated best human player in go.
2. Companies like Uber/Amazon/Google/Apple/Tesla are competing in field of self driving cars. And they are not making "baby steps" in this fields: they already have tests on the streets:
https://waymo.com/ontheroad/
3. Other companies are not limiting themselves to just cars:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rVlhMGQgDkY
4. There are already voices saying that AI might heavily support, or even replace (!) work of doctors and lawyers:
https://hbr.org/2016/10/robots-will-replace-doctors-lawyers-and-other-professionals
I think that Maurice has some pretty good points. We are at the beggining of new era of humanity. Most of us is already "augmented" as he tells in his presentation, we use our personal devices to keep up with surrounding world.
What do you think about this presentation? Maybe you already have been working with AI? What are your high hopes in term of AI development? I personally would like to see AI in medical diagnostics. I know it brings up some concers as to who will be responsible for diagnosis, however if computer diagnosis would have to be verified by doctors, maybe it is the way to introduce computers into helathcare?
https://www.ted.com/talks/maurice_conti_the_incredible_inventions_of_intuitive_ai
As I recall, news about AI development are quite often in my RSS feeds. Maybe it is because most of my news feeds are about technology. On the other hand, I am signed up for other branches of technology RSS's and they are not even half as active as AI news feeds. Take a look at some examples:
1. Computers are already as good (if not better) as humans in games like the chess or go. Deep Blue computer recently defeated best human player in go.
2. Companies like Uber/Amazon/Google/Apple/Tesla are competing in field of self driving cars. And they are not making "baby steps" in this fields: they already have tests on the streets:
https://waymo.com/ontheroad/
3. Other companies are not limiting themselves to just cars:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rVlhMGQgDkY
4. There are already voices saying that AI might heavily support, or even replace (!) work of doctors and lawyers:
https://hbr.org/2016/10/robots-will-replace-doctors-lawyers-and-other-professionals
I think that Maurice has some pretty good points. We are at the beggining of new era of humanity. Most of us is already "augmented" as he tells in his presentation, we use our personal devices to keep up with surrounding world.
What do you think about this presentation? Maybe you already have been working with AI? What are your high hopes in term of AI development? I personally would like to see AI in medical diagnostics. I know it brings up some concers as to who will be responsible for diagnosis, however if computer diagnosis would have to be verified by doctors, maybe it is the way to introduce computers into helathcare?
Comments
Machines work according to schemes but people can think about future and create.
I think that we will never make a perfect machine.
From the perspective of an IT guy, I place a great hope in the development of AI, since it may help us solve many problems and make our life easier. On the other hand, from a purely human point of view, I still have some concerns. I’m afraid that if we build true AI, it will quickly conclude that people are the biggest threat to world peace, the whole ecosystem etc. and we will lose control over it. I know it’s a nightmare scenario, but taking into account possible effects, we should certainly be very careful and must take into consideration the degree of such threats.
Following the examples provided, Boston Dynamics (the company mentioned in the point 3.) has recently created another robot called Handle, which has also impressive capabilities (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-7xvqQeoA8c).
https://qz.com/865357/we-dont-understand-how-ai-make-most-decisions-so-now-algorithms-are-explaining-themselves/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-6u7EhM-bW4
Russians seem to be quite advanced in this matter.
I wonder what Americans and the Chineese hide in their garages.
I know, that many people are afraid of AI and it is strengthened in movies.
It may be spoiler if you haven't seen Ex Machina!
Last one I've seen about is "Ex Machina" - and when you watch it there are questions - what if all robots(AI) are tricky? What if they are better, because they can manipulate feeling without having them for anyone? On the other hand there is "I, Robot", where we sympathize with main robot and we want to see human there - but what if it is not there? Just like in Ex Machina?
There are 3 laws, but what if robots may break them, just like people? What will make them want to do not break those rules? Some punishment? But without feelings of guilt, anger or sorrow it won't be helpful. So what we may do, in the future, to stop them, if they will want to do something against us?
1. algorithms that recognize a person - it's very useful thing in detecting some dangerous criminals walking along the street, finding lost people (e.g. because of memory illness), but also unlocking devices. There are billions examples of use.
2. algorithms that recognize face and mood - this kind can be used is some apps that help improve a mood if it's bad, customize light or music to the mood etc etc.
To be honest, I think it's really big improvment and helps in daily life. There are much more advantages, but we should about bad side of it.
Firstly, the AI can be programmed to do something devastating. I don't want to talk about software that helps in killing, but the AI can be really dangerous weapon (as every weapon that falls into wrong hands). I think we just should remember about it.
Secondly, the AI can be programmed to do something beneficial, but it will develop a destructive method for achieving its goal. It's probably worst case because it's more difficult to predict such situation.
To sum up, the AI is amazing tool in our hands. It helps in many many fields. Thanks to it, we will be able to do such things that now are considered as impossible, but we should take dangerous cases into consideration.
The AI is programmed to do something beneficial, but it develops a destructive method for achieving its goal. This can happen whenever we fail to fully align the AI’s goals with ours, which is strikingly difficult. If you ask an obedient intelligent car to take you to the airport as fast as possible, it might get you there chased by helicopters and covered in vomit, doing not what you wanted but literally what you asked for. If a superintelligent system is tasked with a ambitious geoengineering project, it might wreak havoc with our ecosystem as a side effect, and view human attempts to stop it as a threat to be met.
I don't think we should fear it, we should embrace it, use it, definitely benefit from it.
There are many issues regarding replacement of human jobs with AI and robots. Depending on the job it may be quite easy or very hard. Computers and primitive AI is already way better than human but in a virtual realm like working with huge amounts of data and analysis in, for example, healthcare sector -> being waaaay more accurate with disease diagnosis than human doctors. Oh, and way faster too.
On the other hand building a robot which is supposed to operate in a physical realm is not as quite easy and humans still perform better in that field (there are some exceptions like with a robot serving coffee). But that is a long term perspective in my opinion.
More interesting is how AI can solve many of our problems operating in the virtual realm. Working with data and algorithms, learning and concluding maginificent things, solutions to global warming, pollution, hunger, healthcare, economy, space travel(?) etc. Truly interesting.
I really hope that doctors will be replaced with AI because the most of doctors are not engineers, they perform some empirical actions like taking some input (symptoms, health tests) and provide an output (diagnosis and treatment suggestions). I'm sure that properly trained AI would make less mistakes because it's hard for a human to remember everything, even related to a single disease which may have a thousand factors deciding about a treatment.
People now have a dilemma if we even should try to create machine which behaves and feels like human. I mean - human is the only one who thinks, has feelings, sense of art, sense of humor and so on. Should we try to change it? Will it come out for good for us?
You are right, maybe one day somebody will create an AI, that will hack all banks and destroy all governments... But I hope that somebody else will come up with some protector AI before that happen.
Artificial intelligence is one of the most interesting, and dangerous at the same time, fields in IT. We are heading towards the moment we are no longer needed here. We teach robots to write computer programmes so in near future they can program other robots and teach them the same. Self-service cash registers, automated factories. Robots will not make human mistakes, will not get sick nor will have to take week-off to take care of an ill child. We are heading the future in which just a few men will have a job. Others will be replaced with robots.
On the other hand AI is a field that can change our lives 180 degrees. In, as you said, e.g. medicine. As I said before, robots will not make human mistakes and their databases may contain much more symptoms and diseases than doctors' brains, so there is no way robot will know nothing about a patient's illness. In my opinion it's a great idea but needs years of tests so it's really reliable and safe.
The second matter mentioned in this discussion is using AI in a wrong way, to kill, to destroy, to control people, teritories by force. I think until we won't produce self conscious robots, AI is very useful, because it allows to do many things faster.
The example would be helping doctors in diagnosis. it's obvious that human mind, even after many years of experience and studies, isn't able to memorize so much informations as computer. Thanks to AI we would be able to classify even rare illnesses, basing on whole accesible informations about all possible diseases.
The same thing is in the others industries. There is a lot of jobs that could be removed and replaced by AI.
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