In 1965, a co-founder of Fairchild Semiconductor and a CEO of Intel at the time Gordon Moore published a paper in which he predicted that the number of transistors in microprocessors would double wich each passing year which in turn meant a promise of a continuous increase in performance of the CPUs. But with the time as individual elements of processors were becoming smaller, it became much harder to keep up with this speculation, and by many predictions, it would be almost impossible to achieve the increase in computing performance by the beginning of the next decade. In order to continue to make progress, silicon would have to be replaced by newer and better technology. So what the future of processing hold's for us?
The video below explores the problem and possible solutions to it.
Questions:
1. Do you think Moore's Law will stop working before the end of the decade?
2. Do you believe quantum computers can help the IT industry to circumvent this challenge?
3. Do you believe the "death" of silicon can spell the end to the fast improvements in computation performance?
The video below explores the problem and possible solutions to it.
1. Do you think Moore's Law will stop working before the end of the decade?
2. Do you believe quantum computers can help the IT industry to circumvent this challenge?
3. Do you believe the "death" of silicon can spell the end to the fast improvements in computation performance?
Comments
We are already slowly reaching the peak of our capabilities when it comes to the miniaturization of transistors. Therefore, I believe that the Moor's law will stop working by the end of this decade.
2. Do you believe quantum computers can help the IT industry to circumvent this challenge?
Quantum computers are a completely different technology, which is only in its infancy. However, as recent reports show, we are able to adjust current computing problems to take advantage of all the benefits of the new technology. I think it will still take some time before we can talk fully about the successor of silicon, the technology has to cut down and spread first among universities and then among ordinary people. Only then will we see the full potential we are able to achieve.
3. Do you believe the "death" of silicon can spell the end to the fast improvements in computation performance?
I think that improving performance in other technologies will not be as fast as with silicon. However, there will always be some way to optimize the calculation for a given new technology.
As for now, we are slowly reaching the limits of our possibilities, so Moore's Law is working. As I know some works are going on to improve our possibilities and break Moore's Law, so maybe by the end of the decade, it will stop working.
2. Do you believe quantum computers can help the IT industry to circumvent this challenge?
I think yes. Even now, when the quantum computers are big and not so easy to use there are still way more powerful then the regular computers are, so with the time passes they will be more and more efficient as it was with regular computers.
3. Do you believe the "death" of silicon can spell the end to the fast improvements in computation performance?
I am not sure, I think everything is connected, so after the "death" of silicon, there will be a new material which will be used in the same way, it could be even way more efficient and better suited for its purpose than silicon.
2. I think so, even the current test confirms this. We just have to wait for quantum computers to be available to home users.
3. It seems to me that apart from silicon we still have many possibilities thanks to which we can increase computing power but we are not yet able to use them.
I think Moore's law will stop working at the end of these years. Many pieces are getting smaller.
2. Do you believe quantum computers can help the IT industry to circumvent this challenge?
I think even though it is big now, it works faster than current computers. When the first computer was huge and considering what we are using now. I'm sure it will shrink on quantum computers in the future
3. Do you believe the "death" of silicon can spell the end to the fast improvements in computation performance?
Yes, silicon is still popular because it's cheap, but in the future, stronger things like diamonds will be used instead.