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Week 10 (25.05-31.05) THE FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

Androids are humanoid robots

Androids are robots which imitate human looks and behavior. Speaking more precisely, they are mechanical devices automatically executing certain tasks.




         Until very recently Androids remained within the domain of virtual reality such as films, television, games and books. This has changed very recently as the most advanced technology known to mankind allows us to design such complex “creatures”. Those robots, which have made it into the real, outside world, still look and act very fake, but this will change in the closest future, sooner than we expect.

         This raises an important and also philosophical questions, and it seems we should work out how those should be answered, even before we are going to think about releasing such robots and make them part of our everyday life. I would like to ask some of them to start the discussion.

         Technically speaking about the physical aspect of the future robots, just like humans, the robots physical capabilities are dependent on their bodies, and how they work. What is really important is that there a new technologies emerging, such as hybrid machines, allowing to blur the line between biology and technology. The very basic difference between computers and living things is that their inner workings are maintained by different principles. In biology, in living organisms the biological “cell” is sustained by a set of chemical transformations: metabolism. Computer systems are sustained by processing data in cycles, the speed of which are determined by electrically induced vibrations in a crystal – the clock frequency of the CPU. In bio-engineering, however, the line between metabolism and clock frequency slowly evaporates as biological cell cultures are grown directly on computer chips. We could say that biology is maintained by metabolism, and that computer systems are maintained by a clock frequency. This may sound like science fiction but today we are already in possession of nearly enough technologies to turn this into reality.

        Human performance grows at the gradual rate. But we now have a system, deep learning, that we know it actually grows in capability exponentially.

        Currently we see things around us and we say: “computer’s are still pretty dumb”. But in 5 years time computers will be off this chart below. So we need to start thinking about this capability right now.


        Examples of such capabilities are that computers can understand by listening to human voice. They can see, understand and describe what they saw. In 2011 the study shows that in fact they can see and recognize traffic signs better than people. Since that time a lot has happened. In 2012 google announced that they had a deep learning algorithm watch YouTube videos and crunch the data on 16 thousand computers for a month and the computer independently learned about concepts such as people and cats just by watching the videos. This is much like the way that humans learn. Humans don’t learn by being told what they see but they are learning for themselves what these things are. Also in 2012 Geoffrey Hinton won a very popular ImageNet competition looking to try to figure out from 1.5 million images what they’re pictures of. As of 2014 we’re now down to a 6% error rate (down from 30%). This is better than people, again.

        Computer learning capabilities are now already being used in industry. For example: google announced last year, that they had mapped every single location in France. In 2 hours. And the way that did was that they fed street view images into a deep learning algorithm who could recognize and read street numbers.

        We can already start imagining androids assisting us in certain tasks in everyday life. It happens that someday things may go wrong. We can imagine different, dangerous, sudden and unexpected situations involving androids, such as when human’s life is in endangered. In such, the robot would have to make hard choices, often going beyond schematic logic and include common-sense reasoning and empathy. But what is a reasonable expectation to have of a robot?

        Different questions are also related with the legal status of the android. Can an android own something? Should the android be subject to the law? Can the android be held accountable for its actions, and in some cases be subject to punishment?


        Today we treat robots just like any other machines. In the future Android reality it seems wrong to simply shut him off, for example during transportation. Androids will not have their own, humanlike emotions, although they will be able to recreate such and respond to them appropriately.

        If a machine looks human, we expect it to have human capabilities. However, if an android lacks humanlike responses in some aspect, we will still tend to perceive it more like a machine and less like a human.

        In the near future androids will act and look more like humans and we will tend to perceive them more like humans, in a result we will have to ask ourselves what kind of relationship we can form with them and how such relationships will affect the way we live?

        The androids that will be part of our children and grandchildren’s worlds will be more than just machines and we will have to learn to integrate them in our daily lives just like we did with smartphones and computers today.

What do you think about such a future and when do you think it will become a reality?
What do you think will be most and least attractive about such a future?




Sources:

Comments

Unknown said…
I recommend a recent movie Ex-Machina about AI and androids. As I've said many times on this blog I love subjects like that and I hope that within our lifetimes we will be able to see and experience some scientific breakthroughs and amazing inventions, robots being one of them.
Unknown said…
This comment has been removed by the author.
Unknown said…
I agree :-) I would also like to experience them during my life.. I am even thinking about taking part in the project in the future to be able to help the world with production.
rf. said…
Speculating sure is fun, let's see what the future brings :)
MartaSB said…
I'm curious about the future, because the technology developed even now in laboratories was something unimaginable 10 or 20 years ago. I believe we will witness some great breakthrough, maybe even more than one... Let's wait and see :)
Unknown said…
Sure, but remember that speculating plays a big role in this process. This is the very beginning. The more we speculate the more we push our knowledge to be able to achieve what we want and need today :-)
Unknown said…
The future is optimistic regarding those areas of technology. We can already see areas in which we want to achieve the breakthrough, so as long as we want them it will finally happen :-)
I don't agree with 'Androids will not have their own, humanlike emotions, although they will be able to recreate such and respond to them appropriately.' Human emotions are not some mysthical forces coming out of blue - they're the way out bodies react to neurochemicals released in them.

Quoting wikipedia: Based on discoveries made through neural mapping of the limbic system, the neurobiological explanation of human emotion is that emotion is a pleasant or unpleasant mental state organized in the limbic system of the mammalian brain. If distinguished from reactive responses of reptiles, emotions would then be mammalian elaborations of general vertebrate arousal patterns, in which neurochemicals (for example, dopamine, noradrenaline, and serotonin) step-up or step-down the brain's activity level, as visible in body movements, gestures, and postures. Emotions can likely be mediated by pheromones.

I believe that if we could recreate something working like a human organism, we could equip it with sufficient tools to make them receive similar signals to human emotions. It wouldn't make any difference whether it's artificially produced or not, it could influence androids just like it affects us :)
The idea of it scares me a little to be honest....Robots taking over and so on..Maybe it sound like from a movie or somthething but on the other hand it does not giving how fast the technology developes...It would be really weird to met a robot, who acted and looked like a human. We would care about him like he was a real person. So were are the boundries....
I was going to mention this movie. Although I haven't seen it yet....Do you recommend it?
Unknown said…
This is an interesting idea and it looks like that it would be even more complex than an Android, because it would be almost human :)
Unknown said…
Imagine those robots will be living almost forever, meaning their knowledge will increase over and over and could be copied to other robots, this concept has so much power but we are still missing a couple key objectives to get there :) So don't worry :) I doubt it will happen during your life time :D
Unknown said…
We are closer and closer to such a future. I think that in some way it is reality. We can prepare robots which look like people. A lot of time will pass away before they will become perfect but it is impresive how they are looking right now. I heard about this example of a robot in your presentation and there is more of them. Amazing how technology can change our life. We made not only humanoid robots but animals too.
Unknown said…
Androids living between people... this is an abstraction for me. What suprised me is how fast grows computer performance in comparision to human performance. The graph above makes me afraid for all of us and next generations especially. Maybe our descendants will have more serious reflections around this problem? I'm very curious about the future.
Every now and then Hollywood presents its own version of what reality (in which robots are included) will look like. On the one hand, we are shown how humanity is beaten to a pulp by its own creation (The Day the Earth Stood Still 1951/ The Terminator / Ash in Alien). On the other hand, we can see robots as helpful, companionate and loving beings, coexisting with humans in a harmony. (C3P0 from Star Wars, Baymax from Big Hero 6 or Samantha from “HER’ movie, after all the most important particle of the robot is its "brain"). In reality, what various medias present is that scientist tend to create robots who are capable of helping, nurturing, fixing and so on. We shouldn’t forget about the military programs, which get significantly less media coverage, focusing on different purposes of robots.
Unknown said…
I have watched it recently (thanks for the suggestion Paulina). I can recommend it. :) There were a few things that I didn't like, but not related to the subject of artificial intelligence.
Unknown said…
I'm not sure, that it will change in the closest future. For me it is still totally abstraction, but I'm not an expert of it, so I can be wrong. I'm in totally oposition regarding with make robots part of our everyday life. In my opinion it is very bad idea. Ok, it might be a help in our work, but in the other hand it may be way to the destruction of world order. Although all my love for new technologies I don't believe that the allowing to blur the line between biology and technology is possible. I can't imagine it.
But when I’m reading your article more and more, I’m more and more in consternation. I don't want robots will take control on people. In my opinion it won't be good.
Unknown said…
I really doubt I will ever have a chance to live in a world, where androids live amongst people. I don't think we will quickly achieve this level of scientific development. Maybe we will be able to see a machine like that in a future, but in a term of science trophy, showing what some big company can achieve, not on a regular basis. I don't think we are aiming for a future like in "Blade runner" movie, where people need special tests to distinguish humans from machines.
Unknown said…
Fortunately the graph represents just a small piece of human capabilities. Computers are still far behind in many other skills, even such a basic ones like walking. On the other hand the graph shows that when being on the right track with the appropriate algorithms computer can obtain much better results than humans, and that in time it can happen in more and more areas.
Unknown said…
Aleksandra, no one want's to lose controll over the future. You should not be afraid of the changes and new things. There is always a risk of something going wrong. If people wouldn't fight with their own fears to create something better, you would not live in a world like today.
Unknown said…
You will always have a chance, for everything Filip. Stay optimistic, and look at the numbers. The world has changes so much in the last 50 years. There were almost no cars. There were no computers and no internet. There were no cellphones. Technology is developing exponentially. Think about it. Now try to imagine what will happen in the next 50 years...
Unknown said…
Thanks for the article, it was very interesting. I didn't know that technology in androids' field is so advanced. As the matter of fact my knowledge on this subject is very limitted and the most recent thing regarding androids that I remember was in the Terminator;)
In my opinion androids may be very useful when it comes to dangerous works, such as mining, working with explosives etc. But on the other hand it may take away a lot of jobs. There are a lot of people that are good at physical labour and replacing them by the machines may be more efficient, but not good for the economy. And if the world turns into a system managed by computers - where does that leave humans? What will they be doing with all their free time? I think that computers will be smart enough not to need constant control. So maybe everybody will be assigned to repairing the robots?
Speaking of making hard choices - I think that on one hand it may be better, because if the choice will be made based on some algorithms, there would be no one to blame for the results (for example when letting someone go when they are brain dead). On the other hand sometimes bravery overcomes any logical and reasonable thinking and it saves lives (e.g. firefighters). I think that this is why there should always be someone with feelings that controls the machines. And we should not lose control over the computers, this is a very important matter.
I have one question that is to be posed: what about having feelings for androids? Even now there are people that marry their own computers or inflatable dolls, but where is the end of it and what happens if a person owns a perfectly educated, well mannered, smart, pretty, human-like robot? I have no doubts that there will be some cases of trying to legalise the affection for a robot and I wonder how it will be managed.
Unknown said…
I have the same opinion. It is a bit terrifying. Honestly, I cannot imagine how I would act if I met a robot that looks like human… How to talk to such “person”? I understand that our world is developing but I hope that robots will not dominate our Earth.
Michal Kulesza said…
Could you give me some link where did you found information about Google mapping whole France in 2 hours? It sounds very interesting but Google didn't found any results, maybe I used wrong keywords.

Artifical Intelligence is hot topic nowadays with these 'bad things' that come with it.
Don't you think that Asimov's Laws (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_Laws_of_Robotics) have already been broken?

1. A robot may not injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm.
2. A robot must obey the orders given it by human beings, except where such orders would conflict with the First Law.
3. A robot must protect its own existence as long as such protection does not conflict with the First or Second Laws.

Drones are robots, right? Following this: they do harm to people. So the first and second laws got broken here.

It makes future completely unpredictable - I’m afraid that in future our descendants will have to learn how to distinguish people from androids - and it’s scary.

You wrote android in second sentence using capital “A” - I thought that it will be some article about Google’s Android and another thought was you are respectful to robots!
Unknown said…
When I read your article the thought came to me the movie Artificial Intelligence. In my opinion, people will never accept robots that look like them. In my opinion always there will be stuff, lower-level beings. Just as people do not have respect for animals the same will treat robots.
Do we need another toy that will be the next target of moral considerations?
Where is the limit?
Whether the program will have souls and feelings?
Thank you for a very nice presentation. The problem of what we gonna do when we face robots with an awareness is a very interesting one. However, I don't believe that those predictions that it will happen very soon are accurate. That's true that computers are much better in many things. The examples provided in this presentation (recognising signs for example) are still more or less in the area in which computers are far superior to humans. They don't forget and don't make typical human mistakes.
If we ever face an machine with awareness then I think we will have to respect it and no longer treat it is a thing. I just don't think it will happen so soon.
Mateusz Frycie said…
It all sounds like a summary of "The Terminator". I really do hope that future brings something better than robots that are taking over the role of human beings. Technology should focus on improving our lives and not destroying them or making them worthless.
Unknown said…
Probably we will see something like that in 50-60 years or maybe even earlier. Those new technologies are developing pretty fast, so probably there is always some chances that everything will be done fast.
From positive and negative sides: well, positive we will get cheep labor for the most dangerous jobs and in some way our life will become comfortable. Negative - there probably will arise some movements with motto like 'Cyborgs are also people - they can feel' or some other stuff from all those crack-heads that smoke weed and think about 'equality', 'nature' and other stuff.
In all those 'AI riots' and terminator stuff I do not believe as every person who builds such things will definitely keep in mind such scenario (at least if such person does not obsessed with conducting warfare with a help of cyborg-assassins, then we will be screwed). Plus three Azimow' laws also should be implemented, so from that point everything is cool.
First of all, very good way to start conversations by adding some (let's say) philosophical questions at the bottom of an article! I'm very curious what will happen when droids will get to the level of absolute independence from mankind. If any connection between the world and the droids will happen to be, or the machines will stay as a separate part of the universe. Maybe this is going to be another "race" in the world and men are going to unite all together and fight against the tech-humanoids as it was shown in the movie "I robot".
Unknown said…

Artificial intelligence and robotics is currently a hot topic. In recent years this branch of science has made great advances. More and more devices are referred to as 'intelligent' or 'smart'.
I think that in the future robots will replace most of the people working physically. People have a limited capacity, while the electrically powered robots can work non-stop, don't get sick and don't have to be free. As soon as the robot will drop the cost of production they become a norm in the industry.
Unknown said…
I think that living among androids is inevitable. I don’t know when it will come true, but definitely will. I think the biggest problem is mechanics these days. Android with regular motors always look fake. I look forward to see android built from artificial muscles. The most attractive about androids is taking an advantage of them in jobs which are not pleasant for us.
I think such future is very exciting! Although depending on the AI level/quality it might be also worrisome as it raises many questions concerning regulations and how much such android could actually do on his own.
That kind of future isn't coming any time soon though, looking back at how the AI originated and what is its state today, in my opinion we're talking here about a good 30 years at least.
And to make androids popular and a common thing? Put another 20 on top of that.
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